Track record · 実績 · The evidence

Every trade. Every test. Nothing hidden.

A five-year backtest of the four-engine stack, the same strategy now running as a live forward test, paper-traded in public, measured the way a quant desk measures itself: on risk-adjusted return first, then statistical significance, the drawdown record, and the full 403-trade ledger you can download and check. The stack now trims 40% of a position once it has been held 15 trading days and lets the rest run, a refinement that lifted the Sharpe to 2.44 by smoothing the ride rather than reaching for more return.

Backtest · 2021-05-122026-05-14 · hypotheticalSee the live forward test (paper-traded) →Independently verifiable →
Sharpe · 5Y2.44Annualised · risk-adjusted
Max drawdown-15.9%Worst peak-to-trough
CAGR · 5Y+137.2%Hypothetical · net of fees
t-statistic5.45Clears the |t| > 3 bar
Final NAV$7.54MFrom $100k · 5.0Y

Read the headline honestly: 64% of the backtest’s dollar return came from just 10 of its 403 trades. In a book that compounds, that makes the CAGR the least repeatable number here, the durable claim is the +13.3% average per-trade expectancy, which stays positive (+10.0% per trade) even with those ten largest winners removed, not the +137.2% headline rate.

The day-15 trim the live stack now runs is part of that same honesty. It raised the Sharpe from 1.78 to 2.44 by clipping the most violent up-days, and its per-year Sharpe is higher in every regime in the table below. The extra NAV it shows over the prior model is concentrated in 2024 and partly given back in 2025, so we treat the smoother ride, not a higher return, as the durable gain. The prior model stays on the record, see how the strategy evolved.

The curve

One book, four guardians

A single total-NAV track from $100k, with the area beneath coloured by which guardian the regime classifier had deployed each day. Log scale, so the early years aren't crushed by the late compounding.

$250K$500K$1.0M$2.5M$5.0M$7.5M20222023202420252026
Genbu · 72d activeSuzaku · 383d activeByakko · 304d activeSeiryū · 42d activeCash · 457d idle
The four guardians · 四神

Each guardian is one engine in the stack, a distinct strategy the regime classifier deploys when conditions favour it. The colours match the curve above, the per-guardian breakdown, and the 403-trade ledger below, so every figure on this page traces back to one of these four.

GenbuNorth

Small-cap quality composite. Fires when the macro regime favours durable margins and conservative leverage.

SuzakuSouth

Small-cap aggressive momentum breakouts. The workhorse in trending and choppy markets.

ByakkoWest

Defensive sectors and commodities. Active when the broad market is weak.

SeiryūEast

Large-cap speculative recovery. Active during macro transitions out of defensive regimes.

Statistical significance

Is the edge real, or just luck?

The hard question for any backtest. We answer it the way the literature demands, with confidence intervals, a multiple-testing-aware t-statistic, and a Deflated Sharpe Ratio that penalises for every configuration we tried.

Sharpe · 95% CI (bootstrap)1.70, 3.155,000× block bootstrap · excludes zero comfortably
t-statistic5.45> 3.0 (Harvey-Liu-Zhu multiple-testing bar) · PASS
Probabilistic Sharpe (> 0)> 99.9%Adjusts for skew & fat tails
Deflated Sharpe · 242 trials> 99.9%E[max Sharpe] under the null = 0.756 · realised 2.44

The t-statistic of 5.45 is the one to anchor on. Harvey, Liu & Zhu (2016) argue that because researchers test thousands of strategies, the usual t > 2 bar is far too lax, a genuine finding should clear roughly |t| > 3. This backtest does, on 1,257 daily returns (from 1,258 daily NAV marks, returns are n−1). The Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio, the probability the true Sharpe is above zero, correcting for the return series being non-normal, is > 99.9%.

The strongest test is the Deflated Sharpe Ratio. During research we ran 242 distinct strategy configurations; the more you try, the higher a Sharpe you should expect to find by chance alone. The expected best-of-242 under the null is only 0.756. The realised 2.44 sits far above it, so the deflated probability the edge is real is still > 99.9%. The edge is not an artefact of the search.

One honest caveat the numbers make plain: the daily returns are highly non-normal, positively skewed (skew 5.8) with fat tails (excess kurtosis 46) and a high 38% annualised volatility. That is the nature of a concentrated small-cap momentum book: the volatility is dominated by upside, the occasional explosive winner, while the downside stays contained, which is exactly why the worst drawdown is only 16%. We report the Probabilistic and Deflated Sharpe precisely because they correct for that non-normality, where the raw Sharpe assumes it away. The same asymmetry inflates any ratio that sees only the downside: a Calmar of 8.61 (CAGR ÷ max drawdown) would read impressively, which is exactly why we don’t headline it. It is arithmetically real but flattered by the same asymmetry, the volatility is almost all upside, so the drawdown denominator stays small while the return numerator runs. Read it as a drawdown-efficiency note, not a figure that out-classes the 2.44 Sharpe.

A practical note for anyone reconciling the three headline figures: they will not tie out under the textbook identity, and that is expected. The arithmetic mean return is 94%/yr (Sharpe 2.44 × 38% volatility). The usual variance-drag shortcut, geometric ≈ arithmetic − ½σ², would then put the compound return near 86%, yet the realised CAGR is 137.2%. That identity assumes roughly normal returns; at skew 5.8 and excess kurtosis 46 it does not hold here, the variance is overwhelmingly upside variance that compounds in the book’s favour rather than dragging, so the geometric return lands above the Gaussian prediction, not below. The figures are internally consistent; it is the normal-distribution shortcut linking them that breaks.

252-day rolling Sharpe

The Sharpe ratio measured over every trailing one-year window, a test of consistency, not a single end-point number.

min -0.27median 2.65peak 3.83
2022-05-11 (baseline = Sharpe 0)dashed = Sharpe 1 to 3 · scale 0 to 4 · 2026-05-08
Edge vs beta

Skill, or just the tape?

2024 to 25 was a strong run for small-caps, so the fair question is whether this is alpha or market beta. Measured against the three major US benchmarks below, the strategy's beta is statistically indistinguishable from zero, the return is not benchmark exposure.

IndexReturn · 5yCAGRβ · all/depAnn. α (t)
Shishin+7,441%+137%
S&P 500 SPY+85%+13%-0.05 · -0.010.001+156% (5.49)
Russell 2000 IWM+34%+6%-0.06 · -0.010.001+156% (5.48)
Nasdaq 100 QQQ+127%+18%-0.05 · -0.010.001+157% (5.50)

The honest, defensible read is the R²: ≈ 0 against all three, the market explains almost none of the stack’s daily variance. The all-days beta (~0) is partly mechanical, a third of days are in cash, where the daily return is zero, which pulls beta toward zero regardless of skill, but the deployed-day beta is also near zero (the second figure in the β column), so it isn’t merely a cash artifact: even when invested, the book is uncorrelated with the index. We’d rather make the weaker, sturdier claim, the market explains almost none of our variance, than “market-neutral by design.” And the benchmark that should most flatter a small-cap momentum book, the Russell 2000, compounded at just 6% over the window, against the stack’s 137.2%. So this is not the small-cap index’s return, whether it is small-cap momentum (naive winners-chasing, levered up) is the harder question the factor check below begins, but does not finish, probing.

Stripping market exposure (CAPM, risk-free ≈ 0), Jensen’s alpha is ≈ +156%/yr at a t-stat of 5.49, it clears the same |t| > 3 bar. With beta at zero the alpha is, in effect, the entire return; it lands above the 137.2% geometric CAGR for the same arithmetic-vs-geometric reason noted above.

We also ran the Treynor-Mazuy timing test, regressing the stack’s return on the market return and its square, where a positive γ would signal market-timing convexity. Across all three benchmarks γ is not statistically significant (|t| < 1.5). That is what you’d expect when beta is already ≈ 0: there is little market exposure to time. The regime switch surfaces as the near-zero beta and the large alpha, not as a timing coefficient, the edge here is selection, not market timing, and we don’t claim otherwise. (In-sample, no Newey-West autocorrelation adjustment, so treat the alpha t-stat as an upper bound.)

Multi-factor check · Carhart + momentum + risk-on

SPY / IWM / QQQ are the factors least likely to explain a momentum book. The real tests are the momentum factor itself and a risk-on / speculative-growth factor, so we regress the daily return on all of them at once (ETF proxies, rf ≈ 0).

Factor (ETF proxy)Loading βt-stat
Market (SPY)-0.02-0.26
Size (IWM−SPY)-0.15-1.16
Value (IWD−IWF)+0.110.87
Momentum (MTUM−SPY)-0.16-1.45
Spec. growth (ARKK−SPY)+0.040.78
Alpha (annualised)+157%5.48

Against this set the alpha is ≈ +157%/yr at t 5.48 (R² 0.4%), but read that as a first-pass screen, not exoneration. The momentum factor here (MTUM) is slow, large-cap, 12-minus-1-month; this book holds micro-caps for roughly twelve days, so its low loading (-0.16) means “our momentum is faster and smaller than the factor,” not “no momentum exposure”, only a high loading would have been damning. And a daily regression on a high-volatility, one-third-cash book is largely swamped by idiosyncratic variance, so a near-zero R² across every factor is as much a power limitation as a sign of alpha.

So treat this as a screen, not a verdict. The test that actually separates “naive small-cap momentum, levered” from genuine selection, a short-horizon winners-minus-losers built on our own universe, is the next panel, and it’s the one that matters.

ETF-proxy Carhart factors; ARKK (innovation) stands in for the crypto/BTC risk-on factor, which is not in the dataset. rf≈0, in-sample, no Newey–West.

The conceptual test · vs our own momentum

The question a factor model can’t answer: does the stack beat naive small-cap momentum, or just lever it? French’s UMD can’t tell us, it’s slow and large-cap. So we built a winners-minus-losers factor on our own survivorship-free universe at our own horizon: top-minus-bottom quintile of 21-day return, rebalanced weekly, ~628 names a side.

Shishin ~ own WMLβ (t)Alpha/yr (t)
Daily-0.16 (-1.93)+150% (3.84)0.003
Weekly-0.32 (-1.25)+159% (3.21)0.006
Deployed-0.01 (-0.17)+118% (2.98)0.000

Two things settle it. First, naive small-cap momentum was flat over this window, the factor’s Sharpe was 0.05 (+0.9%/yr, compounded -4%), so there is no premium to lever. Second, the stack doesn’t even load on it: its beta is near zero to slightly negative at every frequency (table), while the alpha holds. Crucially, running it weekly and deployed-only, to escape the daily idiosyncratic-variance swamp , keeps the alpha significant (t 3.21 and 2.98) with the momentum beta still ~0. So it is not the momentum premium scaled up, there was none to scale.

The honest limit, and it is the same across every regression on this page: the R² is ≈ 0, CAPM (0.001), Carhart (0.4%), and this own-universe WML (0.00 to 0.01) alike. That cuts both ways. No market, size, value or momentum factor explains the book’s daily variance, so “alpha survives” is partly just “these factors explain almost nothing”, exactly what a concentrated, idiosyncratic stock-picking book looks like. But it also means a factor regression is a low-power test here, not a proof of skill. What is clean: there was no momentum premium to lever, the book carries ~no factor beta, and the large residual is significant on its own (t > 3). What broad factors can’t isolate is the per-name concentration, the crypto-miner / quantum / precious-metal cluster, which the panel below measures head-on.

Equal-weight top-minus-bottom quintile of trailing 21-day return (skip 1) on the survivorship-free equity universe, liquidity-screened, rebalanced weekly. Point-in-time via bar availability. rf≈0, in-sample, no Newey–West.

The concentration · what actually drove it

The biggest winners cluster in three themes no broad factor measures, crypto miners, precious-metal miners, and quantum / spec-tech. We built each as an equal-weight basket from our own universe and regressed the book on all three at once. This is the regression that should bite.

Theme basketNamesReturn/yrSharpe
Crypto miners17+58%0.70
Precious-metal miners17+32%0.75
Quantum / spec-tech8+79%0.90

Two honest readings. The themes were real but only modestly profitable, Sharpe 0.70-0.90, well below the stack’s 2.44, so even full exposure wouldn’t reach 137.2%. And the book barely loads on them: jointly, R² is only 0.031 (daily), beta to crypto and precious-metals ≈ 0, and the alpha is +168%/yr (t 4.19), still significant weekly (t 3.50) and deployed (t 3.11). The one significant loading, quantum, -0.11 (t -6.16), is negative: a timing artifact, because the book holds quantum names only episodically (when the regime + breakout gate fire), so its returns don’t co-move with a continuously-held basket. That is exactly the point, the edge is which names, and when.

So across CAPM, Carhart, own-universe momentum, and now the concentration themes, no factor or basket explains the book’s variance: the return is concentrated, timed, idiosyncratic selection. That is consistent with skill, but a backtest regression cannot prove skill, and we won’t claim it does. The honest final word is the forward, live paper-traded track on the dashboard.

Equal-weight, daily-rebalanced long-only baskets of the book's concentration themes, built from its own universe (point-in-time via bar availability). Joint regression rp = a + b1*crypto + b2*pmminer + b3*quantum. rf≈0, in-sample, no Newey–West.

Year by year

The edge holds across regimes

The most damning thing for a strategy is to make all its money in one lucky year. This one was positive every calendar year, including the 2022 bear, when it was one of its strongest.

YearRegimeReturnSharpet-statDays
2021 ·partPartial · launch-1.7%-0.12-0.10163
2022Bear+69.7%2.562.56251
2023Recovery+50.9%1.921.91250
2024Broadening+397.4%3.133.13252
2025Bull+294.1%3.203.19250
2026 ·partPartial · YTD+52.8%2.561.5592
Monthly returns · %
JFMAMJJASOND
2021
2022
15
16
14
2023
31
12
2024
23
37
10
80
16
56
2025
49
28
15
31
21
11
2026
49
The drawdown record

What it cost to ride it

The five deepest peak-to-trough declines. Every one recovered. A Monte-Carlo bootstrap says the realised 16% worst case was, if anything, mild, 66.8% of resampled paths drew down deeper.

DepthPeakTroughRecoveredDeclineRecovery
-15.9%2024-03-132024-05-222024-08-1549d58d
-15.2%2024-09-032024-11-142024-11-2752d9d
-12.1%2021-06-142021-07-152022-04-0122d181d
-11.2%2023-02-172023-05-152023-06-1659d23d
-9.3%2024-01-022024-01-232024-02-1314d15d

One honest limitation: that bootstrap reshuffles return blocks, which keeps short-run autocorrelation but breaks the longer-range stop-loss sequencing that actually contained these drawdowns, so it structurally over-states plausible drawdown. Read the comparison as a sanity check that the realised 15.9% isn’t a freak low, not as proof the live path will be as shallow.

The trades

How the money was actually made

403 trades over 5.0 years. A 54.8% win rate that makes money because winners are 3.74× the size of losers, and stops, not hope, close the bad ones.

Win rate54.8%221 of 403
Profit factor3.47Gross $ won ÷ $ lost · dollar-weighted
Avg win / loss+31.1% / -8.32%3.74× payoff
Expectancy+13.3%Per trade, avg
Avg hold12.8dmedian 11d

Note the bases differ: profit factor is dollar-weighted (gross winning dollars ÷ gross losing dollars, at Shishin’s position sizing), while the avg-win / avg-loss payoff of 3.74× is the equal-weighted per-trade percentage ratio. They are not meant to reconcile to the same figure.

How trades exit

STOP_LOSS is the initial protective stop, a loss by construction (0% win), so it is never where a profit is booked. Trades that run into profit are trailed out by MA12_CLOSE (a close back below the trend) and TIMED_EXIT, those are the profit-taking exits.

STOP_LOSS1440% win-9.5%
MA12_CLOSE10181.2% win+27.4%
TIMED_EXIT8987.6% win+15.4%
DAY15_TRIM50100% win+50.6%
GATE_EXIT1752.9% win+2.7%
END_OF_BACKTEST2100% win+8.6%
By guardian

Each engine’s share of the 403 trades and the gains.

Genbu51 tr45.1% win$0.93M
Suzaku159 tr53.5% win$5.24M
Byakko164 tr58.5% win$0.50M
Seiryū29 tr58.6% win$0.77M
Robustness · leave out the moonshots

Is the edge just a handful of trades?

The fair question for a book this skewed (skew 5.8, excess kurtosis 46): did a few moonshots make the whole result? We delete the biggest winners and re-measure the AVERAGE remaining trade, two ways, because how you rank "biggest" matters.

The honest half first: the dollars are concentrated. Ranked by realized P&L, the top 5 trades are 45% of all gains and the top 10 are 64%, what a compounding book that sizes up as it grows looks like.

But ranking by dollars is confounded with timing: a book makes its biggest dollars when the account is biggest, so the largest-dollar trades are mostly the most recent ones (2024×3, 2025×8, 2026×4 among the fifteen biggest), an artifact of when, not a measure of the best picks. So we also rank scale-free, by percentage return, which scores a pick the same whether it made $30k early or $1m late; by that measure the biggest winners spread across the record (2023×1, 2024×11, 2025×3). The edge survives both: strip the ten biggest and the remaining 393 trades still clear the |t| > 3 bar, per-trade t 6.65 by dollars, 7.14 by percent.

Ranked by realized $ P&L
Top removedTrades$ shareAvg tradePer-trade t
None403, +13.3%6.50
Top 140218%+12.9%6.42
Top 340035%+12.2%6.23
Top 539845%+11.3%6.39
Top 1039364%+10.0%6.65
Top 2038389%+8.8%5.93
Top 30373105%+7.8%5.52
Ranked by % return · scale-free
Top removedTrades$ shareAvg tradePer-trade t
None403, +13.3%6.50
Top 14024%+12.4%6.77
Top 340010%+10.9%7.21
Top 539830%+10.0%7.25
Top 1039348%+8.3%7.14
Top 2038361%+6.1%6.38
Top 3037374%+4.5%5.38

Per-trade t = mean trade return ÷ its standard error (n−1), a different statistic from the daily-return t of 5.45 in the significance section; it isolates whether the typical trade, not the portfolio, carries the edge. Removing the single biggest %-winner even raises it (6.50 6.77): the moonshots are variance, not significance. The dollar ranking holds to ~the top 25 before significance fades; the percentage ranking is the harder test and fades sooner (~the top 15), which is exactly what a strategy built to catch big movers should do, since deleting every big mover deletes the edge by design. On the dollar ranking, the $ share tops 100% by the time the top twenty are gone, those removed trades exceed the entire dollar profit, so the trades left over lose money in aggregate; that their average % trade nonetheless stays positive and significant is the point (the dollars sit in the tail, the per-trade edge in the body). Either way the headline holds: it is not five trades, and it survives the ten biggest.

Robustness · the fair version

Now trim both tails

Removing only winners is the hard test, it deletes only the trades that help. The balanced one is a symmetric trim: remove the top-N winners AND the bottom-N losers, both ways we ranked them, and re-measure the middle.

Trim the top 10 and bottom 10 and the per-trade t barely moves: 6.85 by dollars, 7.58 by percent, against 6.50 untouched. Even ±20 holds above 3. The edge sits in the body of the distribution, not the tails. The twist: this fair test is actually kinder than removing winners alone, deleting the losers helps the mean, so these t’s run a touch above the winners-only ones above. The hard test is the conservative bound; this is the reassurance.

One asymmetry to be honest about: the two tails aren’t the same size. Stops cap the left one, the ten worst trades are nine at exactly −15% (the ATR stop) and one −18.5% gap, while the right tail is uncapped (the best is +355%). So “ten from each end” deletes far more magnitude from the winners’ side than the losers’, and the per-trade significance still barely moves. Cut losers small, let winners run, and the edge is broad enough to survive trimming both ends.

Trim by realized $ P&L · both tails
Trimmed each endTradesAvg tradePer-trade t
None403+13.3%6.50
±1401+12.9%6.43
±3397+12.4%6.27
±5393+11.6%6.48
±10383+10.5%6.85
±20363+9.8%6.33
Trim by % return · both tails
Trimmed each endTradesAvg tradePer-trade t
None403+13.3%6.50
±1401+12.4%6.80
±3397+11.1%7.31
±5393+10.4%7.43
±10383+9.0%7.58
±20363+7.3%7.44
The full ledger

All 403 trades

Every realized exit the stack made, sortable and filterable, downloadable as CSV. The winners and the losers, not a highlight reel. A day-15 trim shows as its own row, so a trimmed position appears as two lots (the 40% scale-out plus the 60% final exit): 403 exits across 353 positions, 50 of them trimmed.

403 of 403 trades
GuardianSymbolEntryDaysP&L %P&L $Size $Shishin ScoreExit
GenbuUPSTDiversified Finan Serv2021-05-2020+9.4%+$1,802$19,21266.4MA12_CLOSE
GenbuUONEKMedia2021-05-213-9.3%-$1,810$19,56570.7STOP_LOSS
GenbuPDSBBiotechnology2021-05-2414+7.2%+$1,281$17,75469.1MA12_CLOSE
GenbuSKINCosmetics/Personal Care2021-06-0715+7.4%+$1,409$19,03272.0MA12_CLOSE
GenbuAGENBiotechnology2021-06-0915+8.2%+$678$8,26771.3DAY15_TRIM
GenbuAGENBiotechnology2021-06-0927+5.9%+$734$12,45071.3MA12_CLOSE
GenbuBTUCoal2021-06-107-11.3%-$2,400$21,17073.7STOP_LOSS
GenbuCLFIron/Steel2021-06-105-7.0%-$1,483$21,14473.8STOP_LOSS
GenbuNTLABiotechnology2021-06-151-7.6%-$1,482$19,61172.0STOP_LOSS
GenbuASANSoftware2021-06-1615+34.0%+$2,464$7,23662.5DAY15_TRIM
GenbuASANSoftware2021-06-1630+31.0%+$3,372$10,90362.5MA12_CLOSE
GenbuAVXLBiotechnology2021-06-211-9.5%-$1,786$18,77066.7STOP_LOSS
GenbuATOSBiotechnology2021-06-228-13.5%-$2,492$18,44672.9STOP_LOSS
GenbuGSATTelecommunications2021-06-2313-10.6%-$1,964$18,47174.1STOP_LOSS
GenbuLIAuto Manufacturers2021-06-2512+0.9%+$178$19,75670.3MA12_CLOSE
GenbuNBPBiotechnology2021-06-306-8.8%-$2,066$23,36168.6STOP_LOSS
GenbuANVSBiotechnology2021-07-069-2.6%-$416$16,28774.1MA12_CLOSE
GenbuFLNABiotechnology2021-07-069-9.9%-$1,618$16,25669.7STOP_LOSS
GenbuBTUCoal2021-07-088-11.4%-$2,655$23,26376.2STOP_LOSS
GenbuINMBBiotechnology2021-07-123-8.7%-$2,031$23,25374.0STOP_LOSS
GenbuMRNABiotechnology2021-07-1615+44.3%+$3,150$7,16866.8DAY15_TRIM
GenbuMRNABiotechnology2021-07-1626+34.3%+$3,654$10,60966.8MA12_CLOSE
GenbuASANSoftware2021-09-0315+21.3%+$1,588$7,42273.9DAY15_TRIM
GenbuASANSoftware2021-09-0325+8.7%+$975$11,17973.9MA12_CLOSE
GenbuBTUCoal2021-09-087-8.5%-$1,584$18,60970.5STOP_LOSS
GenbuAEHRSemiconductors2021-09-137-12.4%-$2,259$18,16170.6STOP_LOSS
GenbuDOCNSoftware2021-09-1513-3.9%-$717$18,53365.3MA12_CLOSE
ByakkoFHTXPharmaceuticals2021-12-1411+23.8%+$3,828$16,10250.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoCENXMining2021-12-2211+9.8%+$1,661$17,03950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoSCNIPharmaceuticals2021-12-238-13.0%-$2,073$15,92550.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-02-0113-2.4%-$583$24,4420.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoSENSPharmaceuticals2022-02-037-9.4%-$1,583$16,90750.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoMDGLPharmaceuticals2022-02-0811+11.9%+$1,902$16,04250.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoHAEHealthcare-Products2022-02-0911+3.5%+$579$16,56850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoPFGCFood2022-02-0911+7.4%+$1,242$16,69250.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoGSMMining2022-02-1011+25.5%+$1,858$7,28550.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoGDXDefensive ETF2022-02-1615+16.1%+$983$6,1360.0DAY15_TRIM
ByakkoGDXDefensive ETF2022-02-1644+13.6%+$1,250$9,1870.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoAVNSHealthcare-Products2022-02-258-5.1%-$875$17,20450.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoCELHBeverages2022-02-256-9.4%-$1,744$18,57250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoLFSTHealthcare-Services2022-02-251-9.8%-$1,721$17,54650.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoSGRYHealthcare-Services2022-02-2511+8.8%+$648$7,34850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-02-2515+12.7%+$1,288$10,1070.0DAY15_TRIM
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-02-2539+20.0%+$3,036$15,2170.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoALHCHealthcare-Services2022-03-076-9.5%-$1,599$16,81850.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoOISOil&Gas Services2022-03-082-8.6%-$1,493$17,45250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoCLOVHealthcare-Services2022-03-094-11.9%-$2,163$18,21950.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoXLEDefensive ETF2022-03-1415+3.5%+$327$9,3190.0DAY15_TRIM
ByakkoXLEDefensive ETF2022-03-14224+15.6%+$2,178$14,0150.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoCLOVHealthcare-Services2022-03-1611+24.6%+$4,005$16,30050.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoLFSTHealthcare-Services2022-03-1611+10.8%+$1,803$16,76250.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoAGLHealthcare-Services2022-03-1711+28.0%+$555$1,98050.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoCELHBeverages2022-03-1811+3.9%+$461$11,89450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoTMCMining2022-03-3011+17.3%+$2,854$16,51950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoDRTSHealthcare-Products2022-04-055-15.0%-$2,428$16,18950.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoCDEMining2022-04-136-6.7%-$1,077$16,15050.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoLIXTHealthcare-Products2022-04-132-15.0%-$2,418$16,11950.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoOGIPharmaceuticals2022-04-136-8.2%-$1,352$16,51250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoAGIGOil&Gas2022-04-184-15.0%-$2,309$15,39250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoUSEGOil&Gas2022-04-186-14.6%-$1,952$13,39050.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoWTIOil&Gas2022-05-0411+10.6%+$1,387$13,07150.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-05-043-11.5%-$2,797$24,3010.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoAHCOPharmaceuticals2022-05-1311+14.5%+$1,918$13,19950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoDDLFood2022-05-166-15.0%-$1,929$12,85950.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoSNOAPharmaceuticals2022-05-1611+0.6%+$80$13,72050.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-05-1715+19.2%+$1,817$9,4240.0DAY15_TRIM
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-05-1719+7.6%+$1,082$14,2070.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoMNKDPharmaceuticals2022-05-2011+22.3%+$3,004$13,49750.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoGYREPharmaceuticals2022-05-2411+27.6%+$3,557$12,88150.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoRRCOil&Gas2022-05-2611+5.2%+$162$3,14450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoAPYXHealthcare-Products2022-05-2711+14.6%+$2,104$14,46050.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoNTRAHealthcare-Products2022-05-273-9.6%-$65$67450.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoDNAHealthcare-Services2022-06-036-12.0%-$1,692$14,10250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoAMLXPharmaceuticals2022-06-0611+50.7%+$6,870$13,55950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoOCGNPharmaceuticals2022-06-2311+32.5%+$4,343$13,37350.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoTWSTHealthcare-Products2022-06-2311+26.8%+$3,818$14,27450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoADPTHealthcare-Products2022-06-244-10.3%-$1,393$13,45250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoCELHBeverages2022-06-2411+15.4%+$2,128$13,79750.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoHCMPharmaceuticals2022-06-2411+16.7%+$2,331$13,92950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoNTRAHealthcare-Products2022-06-245-8.8%-$1,266$14,37650.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoAGIOPharmaceuticals2022-06-2711+7.8%+$1,016$13,03550.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoPMVPPharmaceuticals2022-06-2811+15.8%+$423$2,68150.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoENTAPharmaceuticals2022-07-0511+3.4%+$455$13,51150.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoGHHealthcare-Products2022-07-0511+6.4%+$742$11,65550.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoPTGXPharmaceuticals2022-07-0811+17.0%+$2,311$13,57850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoVETOil&Gas2022-07-1911+16.6%+$2,130$12,83450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoUUUUMining2022-07-2811+8.9%+$1,156$12,99950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoAMRCElectric2022-07-2911+28.1%+$3,686$13,11850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoFTIOil&Gas Services2022-07-2911+21.7%+$2,749$12,66050.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoHLXOil&Gas Services2022-07-2911+9.0%+$1,118$12,39350.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-07-2915+4.1%+$523$12,7430.0DAY15_TRIM
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-07-2924+1.5%+$294$19,1830.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoPACBHealthcare-Products2022-08-0311+54.4%+$6,652$12,23650.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoNERVPharmaceuticals2022-08-054-15.0%-$1,922$12,81250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoGDRXPharmaceuticals2022-08-088-8.6%-$669$7,81850.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoWTIOil&Gas2022-08-1011+25.7%+$2,796$10,88950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoELVNPharmaceuticals2022-09-0811+17.2%+$2,373$13,82050.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoPACBHealthcare-Products2022-09-0811-6.4%-$795$12,41550.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoAMLXPharmaceuticals2022-09-0911+1.7%+$228$13,28950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoBHCPharmaceuticals2022-09-1211-0.5%-$69$12,64250.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoBEATHealthcare-Products2022-09-162-13.2%-$1,631$12,36550.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoLYELPharmaceuticals2022-09-2811-1.0%-$127$12,68550.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoCDEMining2022-09-2911+11.7%+$1,575$13,49850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoAGMining2022-10-0311-2.5%-$317$12,68050.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoFSMMining2022-10-0311+1.5%+$194$12,76950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoEQXMining2022-10-043-7.5%-$978$13,11950.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoEXKMining2022-10-045-7.4%-$964$13,05050.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoHLMining2022-10-0411+1.6%+$195$12,23650.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoPROil&Gas2022-10-0411+15.3%+$1,849$12,12950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoEGYOil&Gas2022-10-055-7.2%-$895$12,38650.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoFNUCMining2022-10-055-15.0%-$2,004$13,35850.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoGTEOil&Gas2022-10-0511-0.7%-$34$4,53650.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-10-0715+4.7%+$227$4,8480.0DAY15_TRIM
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2022-10-0723+4.3%+$313$7,2720.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoPACBHealthcare-Products2022-10-1311+27.2%+$3,393$12,47650.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoKPRXPharmaceuticals2022-10-192-15.0%-$1,841$12,27150.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoSAMBeverages2022-10-244-6.1%-$712$11,75250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoPCVXPharmaceuticals2022-10-2511+34.2%+$4,450$13,02250.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoBNGOHealthcare-Products2022-10-2611-9.7%-$1,242$12,79850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoCDNAHealthcare-Products2022-10-268-7.7%-$924$11,93350.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoTLRYPharmaceuticals2022-10-2611+3.7%+$456$12,25050.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoCYHHealthcare-Services2022-10-2811+16.7%+$2,081$12,44150.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoBNGOHealthcare-Products2022-10-3111+20.8%+$2,304$11,08850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoFNUCMining2022-10-3111+39.4%+$4,800$12,18950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoHRMYPharmaceuticals2022-11-024-5.1%-$610$11,90650.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoACBPharmaceuticals2022-11-1111-5.3%-$686$12,83850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoARVNPharmaceuticals2022-11-118-9.6%-$1,163$12,12150.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoAZTAHealthcare-Products2022-11-1111+22.5%+$2,700$12,02650.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoBLFSHealthcare-Products2022-11-115-11.6%-$1,429$12,30550.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoINMDHealthcare-Products2022-11-1111+1.5%+$191$12,83650.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoNEOGHealthcare-Products2022-11-1111-3.9%-$462$11,99850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoOMHealthcare-Products2022-11-1111+4.0%+$486$12,21750.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoSGRYHealthcare-Services2022-11-115-9.7%-$1,279$13,13150.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoSNDLFood2022-11-1111+5.9%+$714$12,14550.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoTDOCHealthcare-Services2022-11-116-7.6%-$124$1,64250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoESTAHealthcare-Products2022-11-1411+1.5%+$185$12,65250.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoSHCHealthcare-Services2022-11-2211+4.5%+$562$12,44950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoSGRYHealthcare-Services2022-11-2511-7.8%-$929$11,95850.0TIMED_EXIT
SuzakuMLCOLodging2022-12-0220+26.7%+$10,479$39,18074.0MA12_CLOSE
ByakkoVTAKHealthcare-Products2022-12-299-15.0%-$1,945$12,96750.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoCHRSPharmaceuticals2023-01-0311+12.0%+$1,723$14,32450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoEQXMining2023-01-0411+17.3%+$2,386$13,76250.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoGDXDefensive ETF2023-01-0415+6.0%+$993$16,6970.0DAY15_TRIM
ByakkoGDXDefensive ETF2023-01-0420+2.6%+$648$25,0140.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoOTLYFood2023-01-0411+18.6%+$2,590$13,94450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoNVCRHealthcare-Products2023-01-062-8.6%-$1,101$12,78550.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoHBMMining2023-01-0911+1.7%+$227$13,06450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoSTAAHealthcare-Products2023-01-0911+20.8%+$2,816$13,50950.0TIMED_EXIT
SuzakuPACBHealthcare-Products2023-01-181-8.8%-$3,663$41,39166.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuAEHRSemiconductors2023-01-2415+0.8%+$339$42,47472.3MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuSITMSemiconductors2023-01-2415+5.9%+$1,000$16,91369.1DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuSITMSemiconductors2023-01-2423+4.8%+$1,210$25,48969.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuTGTXBiotechnology2023-01-2415+31.2%+$3,658$11,73271.6DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuTGTXBiotechnology2023-01-2424+24.4%+$4,298$17,59971.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuPTONLeisure Time2023-01-3011+10.4%+$1,842$17,68070.0MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuVKTXBiotechnology2023-02-0918+2.7%+$1,174$43,51166.3MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuMNDYSoftware2023-02-152-9.0%-$3,984$44,24470.0STOP_LOSS
SuzakuFSLYSoftware2023-02-174-8.6%-$3,889$45,51971.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuSMGHousewares2023-02-176-5.4%-$2,468$45,51867.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuTWLOSoftware2023-02-174-6.5%-$2,958$45,48667.0STOP_LOSS
SuzakuACVASoftware2023-02-2417+1.5%+$663$42,99077.5MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuTMDXHealthcare-Products2023-02-2413-1.9%-$815$42,88572.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuNTRAHealthcare-Products2023-03-037-6.5%-$2,807$43,45968.3STOP_LOSS
SuzakuIOTSoftware2023-03-0610-6.2%-$2,705$43,47767.8STOP_LOSS
ByakkoCDEMining2023-03-2811+21.7%+$2,707$12,45150.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoOSCRHealthcare-Services2023-03-2911+15.6%+$1,962$12,60050.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoKOSOil&Gas2023-04-0311-6.5%-$775$11,86350.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoBFLYHealthcare-Products2023-04-1011+8.1%+$1,035$12,82550.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoKALAPharmaceuticals2023-04-126-14.7%-$1,823$12,43250.0STOP_LOSS
SeiryūRIOTInvestment Companies2023-04-143-9.3%-$3,209$34,58471.6STOP_LOSS
SeiryūVKTXBiotechnology2023-04-1412+4.0%+$1,403$34,57270.8MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūCLSKInvestment Companies2023-04-181-10.3%-$3,477$33,63969.9STOP_LOSS
SeiryūLEGNBiotechnology2023-04-2411-1.8%-$575$32,49764.6MA12_CLOSE
ByakkoNNOXHealthcare-Services2023-05-0211+71.5%+$8,782$12,28350.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoGDXDefensive ETF2023-05-036-3.8%-$1,596$41,5180.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoPRVAHealthcare-Services2023-05-057-5.7%-$639$11,20650.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoACHPharmaceuticals2023-05-081-7.7%-$871$11,38450.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoGHHealthcare-Products2023-05-112-6.9%-$778$11,25250.0STOP_LOSS
SeiryūIONQSoftware2023-05-1815+1.2%+$418$34,07666.4MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūSMCIComputers2023-05-1815+58.8%+$8,015$13,62667.5DAY15_TRIM
SeiryūSMCIComputers2023-05-1829+39.9%+$8,161$20,43167.5MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūIMVTBiotechnology2023-05-231-6.2%-$2,103$34,10664.1STOP_LOSS
SuzakuSDGRSoftware2023-06-167-7.6%-$3,416$44,78378.0STOP_LOSS
SuzakuBTBTInvestment Companies2023-06-2016+7.8%+$3,623$46,23570.9MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuKEELInvestment Companies2023-06-2115+49.1%+$9,087$18,49372.6DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuKEELInvestment Companies2023-06-2129+22.6%+$6,273$27,74172.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuMARAInvestment Companies2023-06-2215+52.6%+$9,726$18,49773.1DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuMARAInvestment Companies2023-06-2229+42.4%+$11,762$27,73473.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuHUTInvestment Companies2023-06-233-8.4%-$3,409$40,68068.5STOP_LOSS
SuzakuHUTInvestment Companies2023-06-2821+24.6%+$9,162$37,26268.5MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuCLSKInvestment Companies2023-07-0615+18.9%+$8,573$45,42982.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuIONQSoftware2023-07-195-7.5%-$3,807$50,98880.2MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuXPEVAuto Manufacturers2023-07-2411+14.2%+$8,254$58,12663.5MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuNIOAuto Manufacturers2023-07-2614+2.0%+$1,161$58,11162.4MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuWALBanks2023-07-2713-1.2%-$700$58,07963.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuSMCIComputers2023-07-2812-11.5%-$6,689$58,12773.7STOP_LOSS
SuzakuSABRLeisure Time2023-08-107-8.8%-$5,146$58,62664.3STOP_LOSS
ByakkoCELHBeverages2023-08-3011+7.6%+$1,116$14,76950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoCGCPharmaceuticals2023-08-3111+184.2%+$29,304$15,90850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2023-09-059-1.4%-$775$57,2670.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2023-09-281-1.8%-$1,131$64,7320.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoXOPDefensive ETF2023-10-177-4.0%-$2,540$64,3760.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoBTAIPharmaceuticals2023-10-3111-13.7%-$2,074$15,11650.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoSPRCPharmaceuticals2023-11-018-15.0%-$2,032$13,54850.0STOP_LOSS
SeiryūMSTRSoftware2023-11-104-6.5%-$3,264$50,61463.2STOP_LOSS
SeiryūDUOLSoftware2023-11-141-6.5%-$3,204$49,39465.8STOP_LOSS
SeiryūPISemiconductors2023-11-1520+4.8%+$2,360$48,87764.9MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūCRSPBiotechnology2023-11-2010-7.5%-$3,677$48,91567.8STOP_LOSS
SeiryūCOINDiversified Finan Serv2023-11-2115+42.5%+$8,309$19,53565.1DAY15_TRIM
SeiryūCOINDiversified Finan Serv2023-11-2142+48.4%+$14,203$29,35665.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuBKKTDiversified Finan Serv2023-12-286-18.5%-$11,622$62,80983.0STOP_LOSS
SuzakuGCTSoftware2023-12-2815+11.5%+$7,237$62,93774.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuMETCCoal2024-01-0412-6.7%-$4,203$62,50872.4STOP_LOSS
SuzakuKROSBiotechnology2024-01-0515+21.0%+$5,242$24,98767.9DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuKROSBiotechnology2024-01-0528+9.8%+$3,677$37,52967.9MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuRXRXBiotechnology2024-01-056-8.6%-$5,402$62,62365.8STOP_LOSS
SuzakuSANABiotechnology2024-01-117-12.1%-$6,942$57,23472.4STOP_LOSS
SuzakuLQDABiotechnology2024-01-185-6.4%-$3,903$60,85169.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuEWTXBiotechnology2024-01-2315+22.2%+$5,288$23,83278.0DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuEWTXBiotechnology2024-01-2322+15.8%+$5,650$35,73378.0MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuSMCIComputers2024-01-2315+72.9%+$17,349$23,80966.7DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuSMCIComputers2024-01-2329+60.2%+$21,497$35,71366.7MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuARQTBiotechnology2024-01-2415+66.1%+$15,736$23,81873.1DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuARQTBiotechnology2024-01-2447+119.7%+$42,781$35,73173.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuEYPTBiotechnology2024-02-023-8.5%-$5,328$62,51474.4STOP_LOSS
SuzakuMGNXBiotechnology2024-02-0515+2.3%+$1,409$61,18271.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuVKTXBiotechnology2024-02-1415+129.4%+$37,347$28,87572.5DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuVKTXBiotechnology2024-02-1423+122.3%+$52,944$43,29672.5MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuRGTIComputers2024-02-201-11.5%-$8,309$72,54279.6STOP_LOSS
SuzakuIOVABiotechnology2024-02-2215-1.7%-$1,291$75,83973.2MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuCCCCBiotechnology2024-02-2320+5.6%+$4,226$75,83473.3MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuMRNABiotechnology2024-03-122-5.8%-$6,314$108,77267.4STOP_LOSS
SuzakuIBRXBiotechnology2024-03-214-9.8%-$10,583$108,26271.9STOP_LOSS
SuzakuMODBuilding Materials2024-03-214-5.5%-$5,974$108,04664.3STOP_LOSS
SuzakuNUVBBiotechnology2024-03-288-10.2%-$10,645$104,12479.8STOP_LOSS
SuzakuSNDLFood2024-03-2813+3.0%+$3,161$104,12366.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuSTOKBiotechnology2024-03-287-12.9%-$13,386$104,09480.7STOP_LOSS
SuzakuOUSTSemiconductors2024-04-027-8.3%-$8,604$104,12172.4STOP_LOSS
SuzakuEXKMining2024-04-0411-1.3%-$1,187$90,71966.7MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuSMTCSemiconductors2024-04-0513-1.7%-$1,592$93,48365.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuARQTBiotechnology2024-04-093-9.3%-$8,838$95,50770.4STOP_LOSS
SuzakuJANXBiotechnology2024-04-1014+7.8%+$7,575$96,74466.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuGERNBiotechnology2024-04-1211-4.0%-$3,503$86,74074.0MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuSMTCSemiconductors2024-04-2915+8.4%+$3,194$37,94070.6DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuSMTCSemiconductors2024-04-2924+6.1%+$3,457$56,89270.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuIESCEngineering&Construction2024-05-068-6.2%-$5,826$94,80874.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuVSTElectric2024-05-095-5.7%-$5,362$94,84969.9STOP_LOSS
SuzakuEXKMining2024-05-1520+4.1%+$3,655$89,37068.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuAGMining2024-05-202-6.3%-$5,711$90,12877.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuWULFInvestment Companies2024-06-1215+45.2%+$16,842$37,28975.6DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuWULFInvestment Companies2024-06-1228+26.8%+$15,006$55,93275.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuHUTInvestment Companies2024-06-1315+51.7%+$19,279$37,28475.2DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuHUTInvestment Companies2024-06-1327+32.1%+$17,973$55,91475.2MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuBTBTInvestment Companies2024-07-082-10.8%-$11,088$102,25067.5STOP_LOSS
SuzakuAEHRSemiconductors2024-07-1121+9.3%+$10,029$107,70664.2MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuASTSTelecommunications2024-07-1515+37.8%+$16,272$43,08572.4DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuASTSTelecommunications2024-07-1544+106.3%+$68,719$64,62072.4MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuCORZInvestment Companies2024-07-153-7.9%-$8,514$107,70872.9MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuHUTInvestment Companies2024-07-153-10.4%-$11,239$107,70870.7STOP_LOSS
GenbuASTSTelecommunications2024-07-2515+88.3%+$33,459$37,91167.7DAY15_TRIM
GenbuASTSTelecommunications2024-07-2534+67.1%+$38,181$56,84967.7MA12_CLOSE
GenbuLUMNTelecommunications2024-07-2615+239.8%+$90,955$37,93464.5DAY15_TRIM
GenbuLUMNTelecommunications2024-07-2632+194.8%+$110,893$56,90064.5MA12_CLOSE
GenbuSMMTBiotechnology2024-07-294-8.4%-$514$6,14069.7STOP_LOSS
GenbuCDNAHealthcare-Products2024-08-023-11.3%-$8,777$78,12264.1STOP_LOSS
GenbuZETASoftware2024-08-023-13.1%-$5,937$45,23762.8STOP_LOSS
GenbuOMCLHealthcare-Products2024-08-061-6.5%-$4,895$75,70561.7STOP_LOSS
GenbuVXX2024-08-061-13.0%-$9,713$74,70262.5STOP_LOSS
SuzakuGDSTelecommunications2024-08-2318+1.1%+$1,438$128,89270.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuHOVHome Builders2024-08-235-6.3%-$8,098$128,28376.8STOP_LOSS
SuzakuPSNYAuto Manufacturers2024-09-031-11.4%-$21,115$185,42574.0STOP_LOSS
SuzakuGGALBanks2024-09-0519+5.4%+$9,766$180,14065.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuVISNTelecommunications2024-09-1219+15.7%+$26,963$172,08279.5MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuTLNElectric2024-09-1319+5.3%+$9,094$171,75771.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuMPTREITs2024-09-162-6.8%-$11,717$172,28370.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuFLGBanks2024-09-185-6.7%-$10,711$160,55665.1STOP_LOSS
SuzakuLUMNTelecommunications2024-09-238-9.9%-$14,829$149,86374.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuGDSTelecommunications2024-09-241-8.7%-$15,479$177,32669.8STOP_LOSS
SuzakuRKLBAerospace/Defense2024-09-2614+7.8%+$13,599$173,46971.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuLXDiversified Finan Serv2024-10-021-6.4%-$11,032$172,21868.0STOP_LOSS
SuzakuUNFIFood2024-10-021-5.9%-$10,088$172,13768.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuRKLBAerospace/Defense2024-10-1614-2.3%-$3,982$176,90070.0MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuLEUMining2024-10-1718-4.0%-$6,993$176,78570.5MA12_CLOSE
GenbuPCTEnvironmental Control2024-10-247-7.9%-$13,299$168,36563.0STOP_LOSS
GenbuMSTRSoftware2024-10-257-2.2%-$3,087$142,15267.4MA12_CLOSE
GenbuLACMining2024-10-289-9.3%-$4,043$43,41067.9STOP_LOSS
GenbuLEUMining2024-11-013-14.8%-$20,989$141,76470.8STOP_LOSS
GenbuLMNDInsurance2024-11-0115+103.8%+$59,812$57,58361.8DAY15_TRIM
GenbuLMNDInsurance2024-11-0132+86.3%+$74,548$86,39861.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuHUTInvestment Companies2024-11-0620+31.1%+$50,937$163,79364.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuLMNDInsurance2024-11-061-6.7%-$10,978$163,74866.1STOP_LOSS
SuzakuRKLBAerospace/Defense2024-11-0615+96.5%+$63,221$65,51169.0DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuRKLBAerospace/Defense2024-11-0628+76.7%+$75,401$98,26069.0MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuKCSoftware2024-11-075-8.4%-$13,243$158,31472.0STOP_LOSS
SuzakuPOWLElectrical Compo&Equip2024-11-076-6.3%-$894$14,30476.9STOP_LOSS
SuzakuDAVEDiversified Finan Serv2024-11-1215+39.6%+$22,957$58,02274.0DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuDAVEDiversified Finan Serv2024-11-1227+33.9%+$29,542$87,06574.0MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuLUNRAerospace/Defense2024-11-131-8.9%-$1,201$13,46770.1STOP_LOSS
SuzakuJOBYAerospace/Defense2024-11-2219+11.8%+$15,256$129,67173.9MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuRGTIComputers2024-11-2615+385.4%+$285,078$73,96584.6DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuRGTIComputers2024-11-2643+355.4%+$394,364$110,94784.6MA12_CLOSE
GenbuCRDOTelecommunications2024-12-161-8.3%-$21,272$255,10369.5STOP_LOSS
GenbuGRRRComputers2024-12-1622+84.6%+$215,841$255,13870.7MA12_CLOSE
GenbuIONQSoftware2024-12-171-12.9%-$31,952$248,29573.7STOP_LOSS
ByakkoGDXDefensive ETF2025-03-062-2.1%-$9,569$465,6310.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoEXKMining2025-03-1211-2.4%-$2,925$120,18750.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoGDXDefensive ETF2025-03-1215+9.2%+$17,070$185,2820.0DAY15_TRIM
ByakkoGDXDefensive ETF2025-03-1217-0.5%-$1,459$277,9650.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoLFWDHealthcare-Products2025-03-2011-11.6%-$15,027$129,51750.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoNAKAHealthcare-Services2025-03-255-15.0%-$17,307$115,37950.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoRYTMPharmaceuticals2025-04-082-7.7%-$8,700$113,78250.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoGDXDefensive ETF2025-04-1014+0.1%+$290$456,1340.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoIAGMining2025-04-1011+5.9%+$7,168$122,03750.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoSBSWMining2025-04-1411+6.0%+$7,057$116,71950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoXLEDefensive ETF2025-04-1415+1.7%+$3,111$182,4870.0DAY15_TRIM
ByakkoXLEDefensive ETF2025-04-1453+7.9%+$21,746$273,6910.0GATE_EXIT
ByakkoUSARMining2025-04-154-15.0%-$17,640$117,60050.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoUUUUMining2025-04-172-8.1%-$10,207$125,86350.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoQUREPharmaceuticals2025-04-2111+22.8%+$26,467$116,09850.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoNGMining2025-04-2211+23.8%+$28,672$120,35350.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoCGCPharmaceuticals2025-04-2411+8.1%+$9,871$122,39750.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoCORTPharmaceuticals2025-04-2411+3.1%+$3,657$117,18950.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoGRALHealthcare-Products2025-04-2411+4.8%+$6,451$133,83450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoUSARMining2025-04-246-15.0%-$5,389$35,92550.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoINDVPharmaceuticals2025-04-2511+3.0%+$3,580$120,39450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoTEMHealthcare-Products2025-04-2511+15.3%+$1,346$8,78050.0TIMED_EXIT
SeiryūODDCosmetics/Personal Care2025-05-058-7.4%-$26,920$365,65063.6STOP_LOSS
SeiryūDUOLSoftware2025-05-0912+0.1%+$379$372,11563.0MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūDAVEDiversified Finan Serv2025-05-1215+22.2%+$33,549$151,09763.2DAY15_TRIM
SeiryūDAVEDiversified Finan Serv2025-05-1232+20.9%+$47,311$226,47363.2MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūTMDXHealthcare-Products2025-05-1221+4.2%+$15,866$379,60362.7MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūQBTSComputers2025-05-1620+34.2%+$125,013$365,74666.5MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūQUBTSoftware2025-05-192-9.3%-$8,737$93,49167.8STOP_LOSS
SeiryūQUBTSoftware2025-05-237-11.9%-$11,925$99,88565.2STOP_LOSS
SeiryūRGTIComputers2025-05-237-11.4%-$40,728$357,36267.5STOP_LOSS
SeiryūELFCosmetics/Personal Care2025-05-3021+6.3%+$5,353$84,56464.7MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūODDCosmetics/Personal Care2025-05-3010-6.0%-$19,308$319,99765.6STOP_LOSS
SeiryūOUSTSemiconductors2025-06-0215+87.3%+$138,115$158,20464.3DAY15_TRIM
SeiryūOUSTSemiconductors2025-06-0229+68.8%+$163,398$237,30064.3MA12_CLOSE
SeiryūTSSIEngineering&Construction2025-06-0515+78.4%+$154,875$197,56573.6DAY15_TRIM
SeiryūTSSIEngineering&Construction2025-06-0533+57.5%+$170,503$296,33973.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuATAIBiotechnology2025-08-2510-9.5%-$63,159$664,40675.8STOP_LOSS
SuzakuIRENInvestment Companies2025-08-2515+57.5%+$152,806$265,75275.4DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuIRENInvestment Companies2025-08-2556+155.6%+$620,397$398,64075.4MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuTIGRDiversified Finan Serv2025-08-252-6.5%-$43,140$664,39372.8STOP_LOSS
SuzakuUUUUMining2025-08-2515+22.6%+$59,973$265,75573.1DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuUUUUMining2025-08-2536+40.2%+$160,083$398,62273.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuCIFRInvestment Companies2025-08-2715+69.4%+$172,360$248,50575.7DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuCIFRInvestment Companies2025-08-2729+66.5%+$247,796$372,75875.7MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuTVTXBiotechnology2025-09-0515+16.8%+$40,395$240,48872.1DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuTVTXBiotechnology2025-09-0524+10.9%+$39,208$360,75372.1MA12_CLOSE
GenbuMETCCoal2025-09-2515+49.9%+$113,576$227,69169.2DAY15_TRIM
GenbuMETCCoal2025-09-2526+26.2%+$89,649$341,55269.2MA12_CLOSE
GenbuASMMining2025-09-293-6.7%-$48,238$719,09472.2STOP_LOSS
GenbuCDEMining2025-09-2915+17.5%+$50,328$287,56873.3DAY15_TRIM
GenbuCDEMining2025-09-2922-1.5%-$6,608$431,35273.3MA12_CLOSE
GenbuHIVEInvestment Companies2025-10-0214+33.7%+$237,208$704,35569.5MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuSUPXComputers2025-10-061-13.3%-$112,621$843,89780.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuBZAISemiconductors2025-10-076-10.2%-$75,409$742,96076.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuWULFInvestment Companies2025-10-1011-2.9%-$3,783$128,98776.4MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuMLYSBiotechnology2025-10-1310-5.4%-$35,999$667,55476.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuNUVBBiotechnology2025-10-2216+13.8%+$147,396$1,072,11574.2MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuLDIDiversified Finan Serv2025-10-245-11.4%-$115,721$1,012,11076.3STOP_LOSS
SuzakuLUMNTelecommunications2025-10-2418+14.1%+$142,807$1,012,08377.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuAXTISemiconductors2025-10-2715+65.4%+$264,868$404,84784.2DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuAXTISemiconductors2025-10-2724+52.4%+$317,970$607,27084.2MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuINTCSemiconductors2025-10-296-7.9%-$71,034$896,32074.5STOP_LOSS
SuzakuPRLDBiotechnology2025-11-041-11.1%-$91,955$825,35177.4STOP_LOSS
SuzakuCTMXBiotechnology2025-11-052-9.9%-$72,745$733,38268.3STOP_LOSS
SuzakuSITMSemiconductors2025-11-076-8.2%-$82,828$1,011,90974.7STOP_LOSS
SuzakuVRDNBiotechnology2025-11-0715+14.5%+$58,698$404,84373.1DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuVRDNBiotechnology2025-11-0741+14.9%+$90,665$607,25073.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuSKYTSemiconductors2025-11-112-11.1%-$115,891$1,047,80480.4STOP_LOSS
SuzakuCELCBiotechnology2025-11-1315+22.7%+$89,027$392,12273.5DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuCELCBiotechnology2025-11-1328+16.9%+$99,644$588,22673.5MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuAPGEBiotechnology2025-11-1415+16.1%+$62,949$392,14767.0DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuAPGEBiotechnology2025-11-1445+16.4%+$96,340$588,25467.0MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuHYMCMining2025-12-1515+127.3%+$622,023$488,56172.6DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuHYMCMining2025-12-1546+185.2%+$1,357,215$732,84872.6MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuNUVBBiotechnology2025-12-1812-0.8%-$9,391$1,244,07474.2MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuIVVDBiotechnology2025-12-237-10.2%-$126,992$1,244,07982.9STOP_LOSS
SuzakuSGMLMining2026-01-062-10.8%-$132,158$1,229,56375.2STOP_LOSS
SuzakuHLMining2026-01-0721+27.0%+$373,545$1,384,51480.1MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuSKYTSemiconductors2026-01-0715+17.4%+$96,061$553,81276.7DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuSKYTSemiconductors2026-01-0723+12.6%+$104,707$830,73276.7MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuACMRSemiconductors2026-02-022-6.8%-$124,194$1,839,41075.0STOP_LOSS
SuzakuALMMining2026-02-066-9.7%-$174,632$1,808,31367.6STOP_LOSS
SuzakuFORMSemiconductors2026-02-0615+10.3%+$74,584$723,31362.2DAY15_TRIM
SuzakuFORMSemiconductors2026-02-0625+2.5%+$27,693$1,084,92562.2MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuTERSemiconductors2026-02-0918+3.0%+$54,697$1,807,61468.8MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuUCTTSemiconductors2026-02-0922+17.1%+$309,853$1,808,35670.3MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuLSCCSemiconductors2026-02-127-6.1%-$99,593$1,634,16175.3STOP_LOSS
SuzakuAXTISemiconductors2026-02-2410-7.9%-$121,383$1,534,63480.7MA12_CLOSE
SuzakuISSCAerospace/Defense2026-03-051-7.8%-$145,097$1,856,49573.5STOP_LOSS
ByakkoPROPOil&Gas2026-03-273-12.9%-$56,506$437,50550.0STOP_LOSS
ByakkoCENXMining2026-03-3111+15.9%+$67,531$424,29550.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoAUGOMining2026-04-0111+25.1%+$116,033$463,14450.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoSSRMMining2026-04-0111+3.3%+$14,547$447,84350.0TIMED_EXIT
ByakkoSGMLMining2026-04-0611+50.9%+$211,058$414,33050.0TIMED_EXIT
SuzakuVIAVTelecommunications2026-04-244-9.5%-$178,422$1,878,02172.8STOP_LOSS
SuzakuNOKTelecommunications2026-04-307-6.0%-$109,216$1,833,45170.1STOP_LOSS
SuzakuPOWLElectrical Compo&Equip2026-05-0113+7.7%+$140,209$1,833,32771.5END_OF_BACKTEST
SuzakuCIENTelecommunications2026-05-0410+9.6%+$176,614$1,833,30476.8END_OF_BACKTEST
Questions a skeptic asks

Straight answers

Is the Shishin track record live or backtested?

This page is the backtest of the live four-engine stack over 2021-05-12 to 2026-05-14 (1,258 US trading days). The figures are hypothetical, net of fees, on a survivorship-bias-free database. The live, publicly paper-traded NAV, running the same locked strategy, is on the dashboard. Past performance does not predict future results.

Can I independently verify Shishin's track record?

Yes. This page is the backtest, which is a hypothesis. The live, paper-traded forward record is published as a tamper-evident, timestamped log: each day's signals and NAV are committed as a SHA-256 hash, chained to the previous day and anchored to the Bitcoin blockchain via OpenTimestamps, in a public repository. Anyone can recompute the hash from the later-revealed data and confirm it was not altered after the fact. The record is falsifiable and independently checkable at /verify, not self-asserted.

Is Shishin legit?

Shishin is a real, non-advisory research publisher, not a tip service. Instead of asking you to trust a claimed return, it shows the whole record: a survivorship-bias-free five-year backtest with a full statistical battery and every trade on this page, a live paper-traded forward test on the dashboard, and an independently verifiable, timestamped attestation of every published signal at /verify. Weigh the evidence here, then check it yourself.

Is the Sharpe ratio statistically significant, or just data-mined?

The daily returns produce a t-statistic of 5.45, which clears the |t| > 3.0 bar Harvey, Liu and Zhu (2016) propose for a genuine finding after accounting for multiple testing. The Probabilistic Sharpe Ratio (probability the true Sharpe exceeds zero) is > 99.9%. And the Deflated Sharpe Ratio, which penalises for the 242 distinct configurations explored during research, is still > 99.9%: the realised Sharpe of 2.44 far exceeds the 0.756 you would expect as the best of that many random trials.

How is survivorship bias handled?

The historical database is seeded from a full point-in-time universe that includes names later delisted, acquired or bankrupted, not just the survivors visible today. A strategy tested only on companies that made it to the present is flattered by definition; ours is not.

What was the worst drawdown?

15.9% peak-to-trough (2024-03-13 to 2024-05-22), recovered in 58 trading days. A Monte-Carlo block-bootstrap of the daily returns shows that is not a lucky low: 66.8% of 5,000 resampled return-paths drew down deeper, with a median worst drawdown of 18%. One caveat in fairness: reshuffling return blocks breaks the stop-loss sequencing that contained the real drawdowns, so the bootstrap over-states plausible drawdown, read it as a sanity check that the realised low isn't a fluke, not proof the live path stays this shallow.

What is the win rate, and why is it under 50%?

54.8% of the 403 trades were winners. The edge is not hit-rate, it is payoff asymmetry: the average winner returned +31.1% against an average loser of -8.32%, a profit factor of 3.47. Stops cut losers quickly while trend and timed exits let winners run, the signature of a momentum system.

Does this backtest include the ETF sleeve or the capital-efficiency layer?

No. This is the four-engine stack exactly as traded live, position cap at 25% of NAV (a four-position floor), 20 concurrent slots, no top-up, no sleeve. An idle-cash ETF rotation sleeve is validated in research as a future improvement (still in paper-observation, not live-trading) and is written up in the research library; it is deliberately kept off this live record.

Did a handful of trades make the whole result?

The dollars are concentrated: the top 5 trades are ~45% of all gains and the top 10 ~64%, what a compounding momentum book that sizes up as it grows looks like. But the edge is broad, not those trades. Delete the 10 biggest winners outright and the remaining 393 trades still average +10.0% at a per-trade t-stat of 6.6, above the |t| > 3 bar; removing just the top 3 even raises it (6.50 → 6.23), because the moonshots are upside variance, not the source of the significance. They dominate the dollars through compounding, they are not what makes the average trade profitable.

Methodology & honest limits

Figures come from one locked, deterministic backtest of the four-engine stack: daily-bar resolution, market-on-close fills, ATR-based stops, breadth-regime engine routing, a day-15 40% partial trim, a 25% position cap and 20 concurrent slots, the live configuration. The regime classifier is computed strictly point-in-time, each session’s regime uses only data through that day’s close, the same function the live bot runs, so there is no look-ahead. Live, entries are placed as market-on-close orders on high-volume names, the closing auction fills the full intended size and sizing against the closing print keeps the book from over-committing capital it doesn’t have. The database is survivorship-bias-free (seeded with delisted and acquired names, not just today’s survivors). The same series feeds the homepage curve and the headline figures across the site, so the numbers never diverge.

What this excludes: one capital-efficiency improvement still in research, an idle-cash ETF rotation sleeve that puts the cash the book holds between regimes to work. It is validated in backtest but kept in paper-observation, not live, so it stays off this live record and is written up in the research library instead. A backtest is a hypothesis about the future, not a promise; past performance does not predict future results, and the live, paper-traded NAV on the dashboard is the honest ongoing test.

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